Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Week 7 Winners and Losers

Happy Tuesday evening and welcome to the "Winners and Losers" for Week 7. Each Tuesday, I will take a look back at my predictions and find some things to gloat about and find some that I would like to take back.

Then, we get things started with Week 8 (Early games) predictions and stat projections on Thursday night.

The Excellent

Pittsburgh 27, Minnesota 17 (Predict: Pitt 27, Minn 24)
Rashard Mendenhall- P: 68 yards rush / A: 69 yards rush
Adrian Peterson- P: 71 yards rush, 1 TD / A: 69 yards rush, 1 TD
New England 35, Tampa Bay 7 (Predict: NE 34, TB 10)
Tom Brady- P: 285 yards pass, 3 TD / A: 308 yards pass, 3 TD
Indianapolis 42, St. Louis 6 (Predict: Ind 41, STL 10)
Houston 24, San Francisco 21 (Predict: Hou 27, SF 24)
Matt Schaub- P: 250 yards pass, 2 TD, INT / A: 264 yards pass, 2 TD
Kevin Walter- P: 3 rec. 27 yards / A: 3 rec. 29 yards
Thomas Jones- P: 120 yards rush, 1 TD, 2 rec. 14 yards / A: 121 yards rush, 1 TD, 1 rec. 3 yards
Terrell Owens- P: 3 rec. 31 yards / A: 3 rec. 27 yards
Lee Evans- P: 6 rec. 75 yards, 1 TD / A: 5 rec. 75 yards, 1 TD
Anthony Fasano- P: 3 rec. 21 yards / A: 3 rec. 21 yards
Johnny Knox- P: 4 rec. 48 yards / A: 4 rec. 42 yards


The Good

Aaron Rodgers- Predict (P): 253 yards pass, 2 TD, 0 INT / Actual (A): 246 yards. 3 TD, 0 INT
Donald Driver- P: 8 rec. 78 yards, 1 TD / A: 2 rec. 84 yards, 1 TD
Santonio Holmes- P: 5 rec. 57 yards / A: 2 rec. 59 yards
Philip Rivers- P: 253 yards pass, 2 TD, 1 INT / A: 268 yards pass, 3 TD
Antonio Gates- P: 5 rec. 58 yards, 1 TD / A: 5 rec. 55 yards
Peyton Manning- P: 325 yards pass, 3 TD / A: 235 yards pass, 3 TD
Reggie Wayne- P: 8 rec. 100 yards, 1 TD / A: 7 rec. 83 yards, 1 TD
Steve Slaton- P: 75 yards rush, 1 TD, 5 rec. 42 yards / A: 67 yards rush, 1 TD, 4 rec. 22 yards, 1 TD
Jay Cutler- P: 270 yards pass, 2 TD, 1 INT / A: 251 yards pass, 1 TD, 3 INT
Kurt Warner- P: 220 yards pass, 2 TD, 1 INT / A: 231 yards pass, 1 TD, 1 INT
Anquan Boldin- P: 4 rec. 65 yards / A: 3 rec. 75 yards
Hakeem Nicks- P: 5 rec. 56 yards, 1 TD / A: 4 rec. 80 yards, 1 TD

The Bad and Ugly

Green Bay 31, Cleveland 3 (Predict GB 24, Cle 10)
Mohamed Massaquoi- P: 6 rec. 85 yards / A: 1 rec. 22 yards
Hines Ward- P: 8 rec. 75 yards, 1 TD / A: 1 rec. 3 yards
Dwayne Bowe- P: 6 rec. 72 yards, 1 TD / A: 2 rec. 11 yards, 1 TD
Vincent Jackson- P: 9 rec. 95 yards, 1 TD / A: 5 rec. 142 yards, 1 TD
New York Jets 38, Oakland 0 (Predict: NYJ 27, Oak 17)
Leon Washington- P: 65 yards rush, 1 TD, 4 rec. 42 yards / 6 yards rush & a broken fibula
Buffalo 20, Carolina 9 (Predict: Carolina 31, Buffalo 20) - I got the Buffalo part right.
New Orleans 46, Miami 34 (Predict: NO 27, Mia 20)
Cincinnati 45, Chicago 10 (Predict: Chi 24, Cin 21 (OT)) WOW!
Miles Austin- P: 4 rec. 59 yards, 1 TD / A: 6 rec. 171 yards, 2 TD
Brian Westbrook- P: 85 yards rush, 1 TD / A: 13 yards rush and a knee to the head.

Now these are just a few examples of my results. I hope you come to the same conclusion that I have....the formula works. Crunch the numbers for yourself. Over 80% of the projections I gave were within +/- 4 points in standard scoring leagues (Over 50% were within +/- 1 point with 96% within +/- 7 points).

Let's see if the pattern continues. Tune in Thursday as I break down the following games: HOU/BUF, SF/IND, MIA/NYJ, SEA/DAL, NYG/PHI, CLE/CHI, STL/DET, DEN/BAL.

Thanks for reading.

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